While I’m messing around with data
| 1st | 5th | 10th | 15th | 20th |
| 82% | 62% | 42% | 36% | 21% |
| 16% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 36% |
| 3% | 16% | 36% | 43% | 43% |
| 66% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 7% |
| 22% | 36% | 28% | 21% | 24% |
| 12% | 41% | 43% | 54% | 70% |
What does this mean?
The top line is the league position.
The next three lines are the average percentage of Wins, Draws and Losses for a team that finishes in that league position (Premiership average since 2003), first for home games, then for away games.
So a team winning the league will on average win 82% of its home games and 66% of its away games.
A team coming fifth will win 62% and 24%.
Tenth is 42% and 29%.
What’s interesting to me is that away wins are really much of a muchness in the league, with the teams finishing 5th and the teams finishing 10th and 15th all having similar away records. The best teams win away, but everyone else doesn’t. But you have to pick up some or you’re doomed. There’s also a predictably linear decline in proportion of home wins as you go down the table.
