The past month has been a little crazy for managers across the Football League. Seven new managers have been hired since January 24. QPR is on their 10th manager in the past 4.5 years. Chelsea, their seventh. (And soon to be 8th?) Arsenal fans are in mutiny (again) against Arsene Wenger.
What does this have to do with Fulham? Well, a lot.
With all the discussion about Jol’s plan for the club, there’s an understanding that he’s in it for the “long haul”. That he won’t pull a Hughes (or, yes, even a Hodgson) and just leave after a season or three.
But, statistically, what is there to think that wont happen?
Here is a link to the longest-serving managers in the entire Football League. Obviously, Ferguson, Wenger, and Moyes are Win, Place, Show respectively. But the names below that are quite interesting.
At a quiet fifth is Tony Pulis at nearly 6 years. Behind him is Terry Brown, who’s managed AFC Wimbledon for almost half the time the club has existed.
After skipping Steve Evans of Crawley and Kenny Jacket of Millwall (who is inching ever so closely hot seat) is everyone’s favorite: Harry Redknapp.That’s right, the manager that seems to duck out on a club whenever there’s financial ruin on the horizon (i.e., about 2-3 seasons) is the tenth longest current serving manager in England. And is in the works to leave Spurs for the English National Team.
Additionally, after doing some minimal math, it seems that the average stay for all current 92 managers is just under two years.
Now, the reason for managerial hiring and firing are numerous. Recently, with the vast amount of money being thrown spend on transfer fees, coupled with the amount of television money at stake for finishing, or not finishing, in a higher or current league leads to an extremely cutthroat environment.
It’s probably no secret then that the longest-serving Championship manager is Nigel Clough of Derby County who’s been a manager for just over 3 years. (Jacket’s Milwall was promoted two seasons ago.)
Now, I’m not saying Jol will pull a Hughes and jet in May. But, we ARE his fourth club in 5 years. So it makes one wonder, no?
(p.s. If anyone can find similar stats for managers in Serie A, La Liga, et al, I’d be quite curious to know how they stack up. I think their attrition rate is higher, no?)