Those final 15 minutes vs Charlton

(by timbo)

Sometimes leads are blown because the lead was perilous to begin with, a result of some fluky behavior and good fortune, and it catches up with the team as some sort of metaphysical reckoning.

Other times it’s bad luck or a momentary lapse in judgement, a result of some cruel joke by Loki.

And then there are other times when you’re two goals up with 10 minutes plus stoppages to go. Then but fifteen minutes later,  you are no longer two goals ahead but instead level with your opponents. And it’s because you made a Gamble when you should have probably just, oh, I don’t play cards but you know what I mean.

In the first 80 minutes of the game, this was Charlton’s shot chart:

first80

In the final 15, it was this:final15

Numerically, they had slightly more shots in the first 80 minutes. But only 4 of the 12 were in the Danger Zone, and most were speculative long rangers.

In the final 15 minutes, 7 of 9 (not the Star Trek character), nearly 80%, of Charlton’s shots were in the Danger Zone, basically point blank.

Here are their shots in this span, logged by minute:

81(g), 82, 85, 86, 88, 88, 90, 90, 96(g)

I don’t normally like to speculate on substitutions, but Cauley Woodrow is worth looking at. Kit gambled, and it almost paid off after clearly not paying off and then eventually did not pay off at all. In the 88th minute The Gamble could have very easily could have iced the game for us had an unfortunate deflection not nicked his shot wide. But, the shot didn’t go in. There was no goal and no ice and no two goal lead with minutes remaining.

Up to that point Charlton had gotten a goal back and attempted 6 shots, 4 within the DZ. After The Gamble they’d attempt 3 more, all in the DZ, and one would score.

A second defensive substitution was not made until Mattila came on in the 90th, about ten minutes in to Charlton’s blitz of point-blank shots.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s