Championship Advanced Stats

(by timbo)

I’ve been keeping advanced stats for Fulham all season long, but I’m happy to announce that I’ve finally figured out how to tally up data for the entire league. Here are the fancy numbers, via WhoScored:

# Team TSR SoT Share Shooting% Save % PDO
1 Hull 0.584 0.621 31.1% 79.3% 1.105
2 Middlesbrough 0.533 0.563 28.9% 84.8% 1.137
3 Brighton 0.545 0.546 29.2% 73.7% 1.029
4 Burnley 0.450 0.510 36.4% 79.5% 1.159
5 Sheffield Wed 0.508 0.555 37.1% 68.9% 1.060
6 Derby 0.543 0.554 31.0% 74.0% 1.050
7 Birmingham 0.476 0.486 30.4% 77.3% 1.077
8 Ipswich 0.515 0.542 28.0% 67.8% 0.957
9 Cardiff 0.475 0.502 30.2% 73.6% 1.038
10 Notts Forest 0.525 0.533 21.2% 78.9% 1.001
11 Preston 0.490 0.507 26.4% 72.9% 0.993
12 Wolves 0.471 0.451 32.3% 72.2% 1.044
13 Brentford 0.472 0.465 30.2% 70.0% 1.002
14 QPR 0.518 0.518 28.5% 68.6% 0.971
15 Reading 0.618 0.592 23.9% 65.3% 0.892
16 Leeds 0.479 0.430 29.6% 73.8% 1.034
17 Huddersfield 0.542 0.523 30.9% 64.5% 0.954
18 Blackburn 0.529 0.578 22.2% 70.7% 0.929
19 Fulham 0.457 0.463 34.1% 66.9% 1.009
20 MK Dons 0.452 0.415 25.0% 70.2% 0.952
21 Bristol City 0.474 0.504 22.3% 59.7% 0.820
22 Rotherham 0.492 0.470 28.3% 61.5% 0.899
23 Charlton 0.386 0.435 21.7% 64.1% 0.858
24 Bolton 0.481 0.452 24.4% 65.1% 0.895

Unfortunately I don’t have a sorting function handy (feel free to copy/paste into your own excel or google spreadsheet), but here’s where Fulham are overall within each metric, with notes in parenthesis:

21st overall in TSR (this means we’re getting outshot a lot, and it’s happening more often than the rest of the league. This is not news.)

19th overall in Shots on Target Share (we’re giving up less shots on target than we’re giving up in total, but 18 other teams are both shooting and conceding on target better than we are.)

3rd overall in Shooting % (our offense is scoring a lot of goals despite not attempting many shots on target. This is probably due to the system we were running under Kit, but that is material for another post. That said Experimental361 dubbed us “Languidly Clinical”—so I guess the ghost of Berbatov still lives with us!)

18th overall is Save % (our Save %, which is essentially ‘Goals Against’ divided by ‘Shots on Target Against’, is where it is because our defense is so atrocious. If you look at the current table you’ll see only Rotherham & Charlton have conceded more goals. The fact this metric is not worse is, in my opinion, a credit to the play of Andy Lonergan.)

11th overall in PDO (this is hard stat to compare each team with, but as the mean PDO is 1, we’re basically where we should be in the table because of our, in the context of of our defense, astronomical Shooting %. Yep, things could be worse.)

One silver lining is that our TSR has been increasing steadily since Slavisa Jokanovic took over. However, our Shooting % has nose dived—presumably because he’s running an entirely different tactical setup.

I’ll write another update this week discussing his first seven games in charge, especially comparing things to Kit and whoever was in charge during the interim period.

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